Henry Silverman's office on New York's Fifth Avenue overlooks what could be called Brand
Central. High above the roof of the Plaza Hotel, he looks out at a bustling Disney Store,
a Coca-Cola merchandise shop, Tiffany's, and the Trump Tower. The 58-year-old chief
executive of Cendant revels in surrounding himself with such prestigious trademarks.
Brands are his business.
Cendant owns and manages brands that range across the board from the budget-conscious
(Days Inn and Super 8) to faded icons (Howard Johnson and Ramada) to powerful real-estate
franchises (Century 21 and Coldwell Banker) to the high-speed, we-try-harder Avis. And the
brands are all he owns. The reservation systems are all he operates. He doesn't rent the
cars at Avis, sell the homes at Coldwell Banker, or clean the rooms at Ramada. Other
companies own and operate the messy, real-world parts of the businesses. Meanwhile, like a
financial alchemist, Mr. Silverman spends his time and energy distilling, refurbishing,
extending, linking, and leveraging his brand names. Despite the recent plunge in Cendant's
stock price because of what appears to be a one-time accounting irregularity, Mr.
Silverman has still made his shareholders wealthy. And, as shareholders prosper, Mr.
Silverman's wealth explodes.
"What Silverman is doing as a business model is fundamentally brilliant," says
Mark Dempster, director of brand strategy at CKS Group, a marketing firm.
Securities analysts say that Mr. Silvermanwho wasn't implicated in the accounting
problemshould be able to set Cendant's stock heading north again barring further
disclosures like the one that caused April's startling, 48% one-day slide.
Mr. Silverman has long understood that when consumers have many choices, trusted brands
can act as a sort of Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval. People can save time and
irritation by choosing a brand they already know. The average consumer is now besieged
with 3,000 marketing messages a day, which makes a strong brand all the more important if
a company is going to get its message heard. And the problem will get worse, for consumers
and companies alike, as the on-line world spreads and information overload intensifies.
So, no matter what happens to Cendant and its stock price, many companies will end up
following the branding trail that Mr. Silverman has been blazing for the past many years.
Having built an empire of brands, Mr. Silverman is now trying to go the next step. He has
placed a big bet on electronic commerce, assuming he can use the information he gathers on
customers to cross-sell productsgetting a traveler staying at one of his hotel
brands to rent a car from Avis, for instance.
He faces plenty of obstacles. For one thing, cross-selling has been tried before with a
similar group of companies. Remember when United Airlines bought up the Westin hotel chain
and the Hertz car-rental chainand failed badly? For another thing, while Mr.
Silverman may have a 21st century business model, his information technology comes from
the computer version of the Bronze Age and desperately needs to be updated. In addition,
Mr. Silverman has grown by acquisition, and his currencyhis stockhas at least
temporarily suffered a major devaluation.
But Mr. Silverman can take comfort in his impressive track record as a pioneer. Besides,
he figures he has no choice other than to make a big bet.
"To be honest, I don't know if electronic commerce is going to catch on or not,"
he confesses. "But we have to be in it now, because if it does take off, it will be
too late to get in it five years from now."
Plenty of companies have invested heavily in developing great brands and have reaped the
rewards. McDonald's gets hefty fees from franchising its brand and burgers. Likewise
Coca-Cola, whose real thing seems to be worth $167 billion (the difference between its $15
billion of physical assets and its $182 billion market capitalization). A few companies
have even made brand plays as pure as Mr. Silverman's. Nike farms out manufacturing of its
sneakers and sweatsuits and focuses on advertising. Sara Lee recently decided to stop
making cakes so it could focus on brand management.
But Mr. Silverman has gone as far and as fast as anyone in arguing that brand is
everything and in showing how a brand can even be split away from the operational aspects
of the business.
The reason may be his background on Wall Street, where it's long been routine to, say, buy
a stock and then sell its dividend stream separately from the underlying security.
The Brooklyn-born Mr. Silverman landed on Wall Street in the 1960s, after getting a law
degree from the University of Pennsylvania. He found he had a talent for corporate finance
and became a second-tier player in the testosterone-driven world of corporate buyouts. He
finally hit the big time in 1990 when he joined the Blackstone Group, Wall Street's
second-largest buyout firm. It was then that he got the idea for what he calls "a
pure franchise company."
Armed with data showing that value-conscious baby boomers were likely to increase their
travel, he purchased Howard Johnson and Ramada for $170 million, then Days Inn for $295
million. In 1992, Mr. Silverman left Blackstone and took this portfolio public as
Hospitality Franchise Systems, becoming its chief executive and largest shareholder. Over
the next few years, with the acquisition of Super 8, Travelodge, and other brands, HFS
became the largest franchiser of overnight lodgings in the world.
There have been hiccups: Shortly after he bought Ramada and Howard Johnson, the Gulf War
broke out, and Americans cut back sharply on travel. Result: All the independent hotel
operators in those chains went belly up. "Every one of them," Mr. Silverman
recalls.
Nonetheless, he pressed forward with his franchising master plan. HFS snapped up Century
21, ERA, and Coldwell Banker, making the company the world's largest franchiser of
residential real estate. Mr. Silverman also moved into the related businesses of running a
vacation time-share exchange and managing fleets of corporate vehicles.
The quintessential HFS deal was Mr. Silverman's 1996 purchase of Avis for $800 million.
Even before the deal closed, he announced that he'd repackage the hard assets of Avis,
spin them off, and take this package public. Cars, after all, can crash. By selling most
of the company, he wouldn't have to worry much about Avis's 174,000 vehicles, 20,000
employees, and 540 rental-car locations. HFS would instead turn around and begin charging
Avis fees for operating its computers and reservations systems and for licensing the four
key assets that HFS kept to itself: "A," "V," "I," and
"S."
The beauty of being a franchiser rather than an operator, Mr. Silverman believes, is that
a franchiser leaves the dirty work of running the business to the franchisee. The hotel
franchiser, for instance, simply collects steady and relatively predictable
feestypically 4% of revenuein return for advertising the brand name, running
the reservation system, and dispatching inspectors to ensure that the properties meet
certain standards.
"I don't even want to have a pencil on my balance sheet," Mr. Silverman says.
"We lease almost everything and own virtually nothing . . . . In inflationary times,
there is nothing that you'd rather own than a motel in Florida," he says, because a
hard asset will hold its value better than cash, stock, or any other financial instrument.
"But [in this low-inflation climate], that's the last thing you'd want to own."
By franchising brands and avoiding owning hard assets, he says, "you're basically
growing your business using other people's capital and getting the benefit of predictable
revenue, predictable earnings, high cash flow, and no capital reinvestment." With the
physical assets off the company's books, Mr. Silverman is free to focus on extracting
value from his brands.
Wall Street loved the concept. HFS's revenue grew 10-fold from 1992 through 1997, to more
than $2 billion. Profits multiplied 20-fold. The stock outperformed even Microsoft and
Intel, reaching a total market value of about $10 billion by the beginning of 1997.
Sometimes, of course, it's not so easy. Sometimes, Mr. Silverman must rebuild brands
before they can grow again. Howard Johnson is a case in point. "HoJo is a venerable
brand that has gone stale," according to Mr. Dempster of CKS. "You think of
those wonderful family car trips in a station wagon in the '50s and '60s. But it has lost
its relevance in an age when [hotel chains] like Hyatt and Hilton have become more like
high-tech corporate offices." Rebuilding such a brand, according to David Aaker, a
marketing professor at University of California at Berkeley, will be a long, tough slog.
Mr. Aaker, the author of Building Strong Brands, says, "Schlitz Beer tried to
rebuild its brand and failed. Toyota and Nissan did it, but it took them 15 years."
Mr. Silverman kicked 150 hotels out of the Howard Johnson system, then forced others to
upgrade their facilities and quality of service. But whether he succeeds in bringing it
back remains to be seen.
Just as difficult as breathing new life into a moribund brand is trying to expand a brand
into new areas. For instance, while Nike has successfully extended its high-performance,
high-energy brand from sneakers to clothing to sporting-goods superstores, it probably
couldn't extend that image to furniture or denture cream. In 1993, Mr. Silverman saw an
opportunity in the expansion of the gambling business and decided to franchise the Days
Inn brand name to new casino operators in Southern states. The venture ended quickly and
badly. "The brand didn't help anyone," Mr. Silverman says. The no-frills Days
Inn brand just didn't fit with a Las Vegas-style environment.
Sometimes, however, Mr. Silverman has been able to change the brand image. When Mr.
Silverman bought Century 21 for $392 million, the realtor had nearly 100% awareness among
its target market. But its television ads had long emphasized the vast resources of the
world's largest real-estate network. Research showed that home buyers and sellers care
less about the company's size than about forging a close relationship with a caring,
trustworthy agent. So Mr. Silverman launched a new advertising campaign that focused on
those more personal attributes. Century 21's annual fees have doubled.
Avis had a different problem: It was projecting the right brand image, but Mr. Silverman
believed the previous owner didn't fully capitalize on its intrinsic value. "You can
rent a car for less than it costs to rent a tuxedo. . . even though a tux costs $200 to
make, and a car costs $18,000," he says. "My gut was that pricing should go
up." He was right. Avis was able to raise the average daily rental by $3leading
to tens of millions of dollars in additional profits for franchisees.
Such strategies helped Mr. Silverman get more out of the brands he owned, but they still
failed to exploit one of the key assets HFS had: data on the behavior of more than 100
million consumers. Every time someone stayed at an HFS hotel, bought a house, or rented a
car, HFS captured two key assets: (1) a rich demographic profile and (2) the consumer's
momentary attention.
"The problem," Mr. Silverman says, "is that we weren't doing anything with
it."
That's why last year Mr. Silverman agreed to merge with CUC International, a Stamford,
Conn., direct marketer and a pioneer in electronic commerce. CUC and HFS already had ties:
CUC marketed travel, shopping, dining, and car-buyers clubs to the tens of millions of HFS
hotel guests. When a customer phoned, say, the Ramada for reservations, the clerk asked if
the caller was interested in joining a discount travel club, offering $20 in free gas
coupons as an incentive. If so, the caller was transferred to a CUC operator.
The idea is simple but effective, because, unlike many other direct marketers, CUC doesn't
use mindless junk mail, cold calling, or spam. Instead, CUC targets consumers when they
are most receptive to a certain sales pitch. Of consumers who agree to hear the CUC pitch,
30% become customers, compared with 1% or 2% through typical direct marketing.
Through HFS, CUC quickly signed up more than a million new shopping-club members, who
typically pay $49 a year to buy heavily discounted products and services. And a big,
bright light went off for both Mr. Silverman and Walter Forbes, the chief executive of
CUC.
People buying houses through Century 21 might be receptive to climbing on CUC's Welcome
Wagon, a service that delivers coupons for local products to new homeowners. Renters of
Avis cars could encounter a CUC marketing message dangling from their rear-view mirrors.
And there might be ways to use HFS's intimate knowledge of buying habits to turn CUC
catalog shoppers into on-line buyersMr. Forbes says on-line shoppers buy three times
as much while costing half as much to service as catalog shoppers.
For Mr. Forbes, who had been toying with the idea of on-line marketing since his days as a
Harvard Business School graduate in the early 1970s, HFS represented the missing link. He
needed detailed information on consumer households and a way to reach them without
appearing as if he were a typical direct marketer. HFS could supply both. HFS represented
"one huge marketing opportunity," he says.
When it came to simply buying HFS's information, the two chief executives couldn't come up
with a fair and simple agreement. Finally, Mr. Silverman says, "we agreed that the
only thing to do is fully share all the risks and rewards. The only way to do this is to
bring the two companies together."
Cendant was thus formed through a stock swap valued at $14 billion, which was the largest
deal to be announced and completed in 1997a record year for mergers and
acquisitions.
(As of this writing. Mr. Forbes has maintained a low profile on CUC's overly aggressive
accounting for revenue from club memberships and on the dismissal of some of his key
executives. But he hasn't personally been implicated and remains chairman of Cendant.)
Cendant still faces considerable hazards, and technology is one of them.
Mr. Silverman readily admits that he comes from an era of handheld calculators,
green-lined accounting ledgers, and sharp pencils. Before the completion of the CUC
merger, he had never surfed the Web or sent an e-mail message. In his New York office
suite, a PC in an open area displays an entire list of the chief executive's incoming
messages; no one seems to care that any visitor can easily read this supposedly private
correspondence.
Reflecting Mr. Silverman's attitude to technology, HFS has all its customer
informationthe potentially valuable demographic and financial profiles of
consumersstored on aging mainframe computers. HFS's software is so outmoded that
CUC's computers cannot tap into its data bases. Instead, employees at Cendant headquarters
in Parsippany, N.J., every month must load weeks' worth of informationfrom more than
two million transactionsonto old-fashioned reels of magnetic tape, then place them
on a truck that is driven up to Stamford. While many companies can massage their
information daily, or hourly, or even moment by moment, HFS represents the state of the
art circa 1978.
If Cendant can deal with the data issues, though, it has the opportunity to be the first
company to leverage brands in an entirely new way. It's one of the few companies able to
meld a stable of mass-market brands with a treasure trove of pinpoint data about the
people who use them. And that process of data collection is gathering steam. In March,
Cendant won a bidding contest for American Bankers Insurance Group, agreeing to pay $3.1
billion for a company that has amassed personal financial data on millions of credit-card
holders. He also agreed to buy National Parking for $1.3 billion to get information on
British car owners.
Mr. Silverman's main challenge now is to complete the American Bankers merger despite his
lower stock price, then restore confidence in his company. But if he can get past the
short-term problems, he has the chance to consolidate all this disparate data and mine it
so well that he can profile consumers, figure out their buying patterns, and come up with
simple but compelling lifestyle solutions. The data just may reveal a new pattern, a new
context in which to position his arsenal of brand identities.
Mr. Schwartz is a writer based in Boston. He is the author of Webonomics. He can
be reached at www.webonomics.com.
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