Silverman

Henry Silverman's office on New York's Fifth Avenue overlooks what could be called Brand Central. High above the roof of the Plaza Hotel, he looks out at a bustling Disney Store, a Coca-Cola merchandise shop, Tiffany's, and the Trump Tower. The 58-year-old chief executive of Cendant revels in surrounding himself with such prestigious trademarks. Brands are his business.

Cendant owns and manages brands that range across the board from the budget-conscious (Days Inn and Super 8) to faded icons (Howard Johnson and Ramada) to powerful real-estate franchises (Century 21 and Coldwell Banker) to the high-speed, we-try-harder Avis. And the brands are all he owns. The reservation systems are all he operates. He doesn't rent the cars at Avis, sell the homes at Coldwell Banker, or clean the rooms at Ramada. Other companies own and operate the messy, real-world parts of the businesses. Meanwhile, like a financial alchemist, Mr. Silverman spends his time and energy distilling, refurbishing, extending, linking, and leveraging his brand names. Despite the recent plunge in Cendant's stock price because of what appears to be a one-time accounting irregularity, Mr. Silverman has still made his shareholders wealthy. And, as shareholders prosper, Mr. Silverman's wealth explodes.

"What Silverman is doing as a business model is fundamentally brilliant," says Mark Dempster, director of brand strategy at CKS Group, a marketing firm.

Securities analysts say that Mr. Silverman—who wasn't implicated in the accounting problem—should be able to set Cendant's stock heading north again barring further disclosures like the one that caused April's startling, 48% one-day slide.

Mr. Silverman has long understood that when consumers have many choices, trusted brands can act as a sort of Good Housekeeping Seal of Approval. People can save time and irritation by choosing a brand they already know. The average consumer is now besieged with 3,000 marketing messages a day, which makes a strong brand all the more important if a company is going to get its message heard. And the problem will get worse, for consumers and companies alike, as the on-line world spreads and information overload intensifies. So, no matter what happens to Cendant and its stock price, many companies will end up following the branding trail that Mr. Silverman has been blazing for the past many years.

Having built an empire of brands, Mr. Silverman is now trying to go the next step. He has placed a big bet on electronic commerce, assuming he can use the information he gathers on customers to cross-sell products—getting a traveler staying at one of his hotel brands to rent a car from Avis, for instance.

He faces plenty of obstacles. For one thing, cross-selling has been tried before with a similar group of companies. Remember when United Airlines bought up the Westin hotel chain and the Hertz car-rental chain—and failed badly? For another thing, while Mr. Silverman may have a 21st century business model, his information technology comes from the computer version of the Bronze Age and desperately needs to be updated. In addition, Mr. Silverman has grown by acquisition, and his currency—his stock—has at least temporarily suffered a major devaluation.

But Mr. Silverman can take comfort in his impressive track record as a pioneer. Besides, he figures he has no choice other than to make a big bet.

"To be honest, I don't know if electronic commerce is going to catch on or not," he confesses. "But we have to be in it now, because if it does take off, it will be too late to get in it five years from now."




Plenty of companies have invested heavily in developing great brands and have reaped the rewards. McDonald's gets hefty fees from franchising its brand and burgers. Likewise Coca-Cola, whose real thing seems to be worth $167 billion (the difference between its $15 billion of physical assets and its $182 billion market capitalization). A few companies have even made brand plays as pure as Mr. Silverman's. Nike farms out manufacturing of its sneakers and sweatsuits and focuses on advertising. Sara Lee recently decided to stop making cakes so it could focus on brand management.

But Mr. Silverman has gone as far and as fast as anyone in arguing that brand is everything and in showing how a brand can even be split away from the operational aspects of the business.

The reason may be his background on Wall Street, where it's long been routine to, say, buy a stock and then sell its dividend stream separately from the underlying security.

The Brooklyn-born Mr. Silverman landed on Wall Street in the 1960s, after getting a law degree from the University of Pennsylvania. He found he had a talent for corporate finance and became a second-tier player in the testosterone-driven world of corporate buyouts. He finally hit the big time in 1990 when he joined the Blackstone Group, Wall Street's second-largest buyout firm. It was then that he got the idea for what he calls "a pure franchise company."

Armed with data showing that value-conscious baby boomers were likely to increase their travel, he purchased Howard Johnson and Ramada for $170 million, then Days Inn for $295 million. In 1992, Mr. Silverman left Blackstone and took this portfolio public as Hospitality Franchise Systems, becoming its chief executive and largest shareholder. Over the next few years, with the acquisition of Super 8, Travelodge, and other brands, HFS became the largest franchiser of overnight lodgings in the world.

There have been hiccups: Shortly after he bought Ramada and Howard Johnson, the Gulf War broke out, and Americans cut back sharply on travel. Result: All the independent hotel operators in those chains went belly up. "Every one of them," Mr. Silverman recalls.

Nonetheless, he pressed forward with his franchising master plan. HFS snapped up Century 21, ERA, and Coldwell Banker, making the company the world's largest franchiser of residential real estate. Mr. Silverman also moved into the related businesses of running a vacation time-share exchange and managing fleets of corporate vehicles.

The quintessential HFS deal was Mr. Silverman's 1996 purchase of Avis for $800 million. Even before the deal closed, he announced that he'd repackage the hard assets of Avis, spin them off, and take this package public. Cars, after all, can crash. By selling most of the company, he wouldn't have to worry much about Avis's 174,000 vehicles, 20,000 employees, and 540 rental-car locations. HFS would instead turn around and begin charging Avis fees for operating its computers and reservations systems and for licensing the four key assets that HFS kept to itself: "A," "V," "I," and "S."

The beauty of being a franchiser rather than an operator, Mr. Silverman believes, is that a franchiser leaves the dirty work of running the business to the franchisee. The hotel franchiser, for instance, simply collects steady and relatively predictable fees—typically 4% of revenue—in return for advertising the brand name, running the reservation system, and dispatching inspectors to ensure that the properties meet certain standards.

"I don't even want to have a pencil on my balance sheet," Mr. Silverman says. "We lease almost everything and own virtually nothing . . . . In inflationary times, there is nothing that you'd rather own than a motel in Florida," he says, because a hard asset will hold its value better than cash, stock, or any other financial instrument. "But [in this low-inflation climate], that's the last thing you'd want to own."

By franchising brands and avoiding owning hard assets, he says, "you're basically growing your business using other people's capital and getting the benefit of predictable revenue, predictable earnings, high cash flow, and no capital reinvestment." With the physical assets off the company's books, Mr. Silverman is free to focus on extracting value from his brands.

Wall Street loved the concept. HFS's revenue grew 10-fold from 1992 through 1997, to more than $2 billion. Profits multiplied 20-fold. The stock outperformed even Microsoft and Intel, reaching a total market value of about $10 billion by the beginning of 1997.




Sometimes, of course, it's not so easy. Sometimes, Mr. Silverman must rebuild brands before they can grow again. Howard Johnson is a case in point. "HoJo is a venerable brand that has gone stale," according to Mr. Dempster of CKS. "You think of those wonderful family car trips in a station wagon in the '50s and '60s. But it has lost its relevance in an age when [hotel chains] like Hyatt and Hilton have become more like high-tech corporate offices." Rebuilding such a brand, according to David Aaker, a marketing professor at University of California at Berkeley, will be a long, tough slog. Mr. Aaker, the author of Building Strong Brands, says, "Schlitz Beer tried to rebuild its brand and failed. Toyota and Nissan did it, but it took them 15 years." Mr. Silverman kicked 150 hotels out of the Howard Johnson system, then forced others to upgrade their facilities and quality of service. But whether he succeeds in bringing it back remains to be seen.

Just as difficult as breathing new life into a moribund brand is trying to expand a brand into new areas. For instance, while Nike has successfully extended its high-performance, high-energy brand from sneakers to clothing to sporting-goods superstores, it probably couldn't extend that image to furniture or denture cream. In 1993, Mr. Silverman saw an opportunity in the expansion of the gambling business and decided to franchise the Days Inn brand name to new casino operators in Southern states. The venture ended quickly and badly. "The brand didn't help anyone," Mr. Silverman says. The no-frills Days Inn brand just didn't fit with a Las Vegas-style environment.

Sometimes, however, Mr. Silverman has been able to change the brand image. When Mr. Silverman bought Century 21 for $392 million, the realtor had nearly 100% awareness among its target market. But its television ads had long emphasized the vast resources of the world's largest real-estate network. Research showed that home buyers and sellers care less about the company's size than about forging a close relationship with a caring, trustworthy agent. So Mr. Silverman launched a new advertising campaign that focused on those more personal attributes. Century 21's annual fees have doubled.

Avis had a different problem: It was projecting the right brand image, but Mr. Silverman believed the previous owner didn't fully capitalize on its intrinsic value. "You can rent a car for less than it costs to rent a tuxedo. . . even though a tux costs $200 to make, and a car costs $18,000," he says. "My gut was that pricing should go up." He was right. Avis was able to raise the average daily rental by $3—leading to tens of millions of dollars in additional profits for franchisees.

Such strategies helped Mr. Silverman get more out of the brands he owned, but they still failed to exploit one of the key assets HFS had: data on the behavior of more than 100 million consumers. Every time someone stayed at an HFS hotel, bought a house, or rented a car, HFS captured two key assets: (1) a rich demographic profile and (2) the consumer's momentary attention.

"The problem," Mr. Silverman says, "is that we weren't doing anything with it."

That's why last year Mr. Silverman agreed to merge with CUC International, a Stamford, Conn., direct marketer and a pioneer in electronic commerce. CUC and HFS already had ties: CUC marketed travel, shopping, dining, and car-buyers clubs to the tens of millions of HFS hotel guests. When a customer phoned, say, the Ramada for reservations, the clerk asked if the caller was interested in joining a discount travel club, offering $20 in free gas coupons as an incentive. If so, the caller was transferred to a CUC operator.

The idea is simple but effective, because, unlike many other direct marketers, CUC doesn't use mindless junk mail, cold calling, or spam. Instead, CUC targets consumers when they are most receptive to a certain sales pitch. Of consumers who agree to hear the CUC pitch, 30% become customers, compared with 1% or 2% through typical direct marketing.

Through HFS, CUC quickly signed up more than a million new shopping-club members, who typically pay $49 a year to buy heavily discounted products and services. And a big, bright light went off for both Mr. Silverman and Walter Forbes, the chief executive of CUC.

People buying houses through Century 21 might be receptive to climbing on CUC's Welcome Wagon, a service that delivers coupons for local products to new homeowners. Renters of Avis cars could encounter a CUC marketing message dangling from their rear-view mirrors. And there might be ways to use HFS's intimate knowledge of buying habits to turn CUC catalog shoppers into on-line buyers—Mr. Forbes says on-line shoppers buy three times as much while costing half as much to service as catalog shoppers.

For Mr. Forbes, who had been toying with the idea of on-line marketing since his days as a Harvard Business School graduate in the early 1970s, HFS represented the missing link. He needed detailed information on consumer households and a way to reach them without appearing as if he were a typical direct marketer. HFS could supply both. HFS represented "one huge marketing opportunity," he says.

When it came to simply buying HFS's information, the two chief executives couldn't come up with a fair and simple agreement. Finally, Mr. Silverman says, "we agreed that the only thing to do is fully share all the risks and rewards. The only way to do this is to bring the two companies together."

Cendant was thus formed through a stock swap valued at $14 billion, which was the largest deal to be announced and completed in 1997—a record year for mergers and acquisitions.

(As of this writing. Mr. Forbes has maintained a low profile on CUC's overly aggressive accounting for revenue from club memberships and on the dismissal of some of his key executives. But he hasn't personally been implicated and remains chairman of Cendant.)




Cendant still faces considerable hazards, and technology is one of them.

Mr. Silverman readily admits that he comes from an era of handheld calculators, green-lined accounting ledgers, and sharp pencils. Before the completion of the CUC merger, he had never surfed the Web or sent an e-mail message. In his New York office suite, a PC in an open area displays an entire list of the chief executive's incoming messages; no one seems to care that any visitor can easily read this supposedly private correspondence.

Reflecting Mr. Silverman's attitude to technology, HFS has all its customer information—the potentially valuable demographic and financial profiles of consumers—stored on aging mainframe computers. HFS's software is so outmoded that CUC's computers cannot tap into its data bases. Instead, employees at Cendant headquarters in Parsippany, N.J., every month must load weeks' worth of information—from more than two million transactions—onto old-fashioned reels of magnetic tape, then place them on a truck that is driven up to Stamford. While many companies can massage their information daily, or hourly, or even moment by moment, HFS represents the state of the art circa 1978.

If Cendant can deal with the data issues, though, it has the opportunity to be the first company to leverage brands in an entirely new way. It's one of the few companies able to meld a stable of mass-market brands with a treasure trove of pinpoint data about the people who use them. And that process of data collection is gathering steam. In March, Cendant won a bidding contest for American Bankers Insurance Group, agreeing to pay $3.1 billion for a company that has amassed personal financial data on millions of credit-card holders. He also agreed to buy National Parking for $1.3 billion to get information on British car owners.

Mr. Silverman's main challenge now is to complete the American Bankers merger despite his lower stock price, then restore confidence in his company. But if he can get past the short-term problems, he has the chance to consolidate all this disparate data and mine it so well that he can profile consumers, figure out their buying patterns, and come up with simple but compelling lifestyle solutions. The data just may reveal a new pattern, a new context in which to position his arsenal of brand identities.


Mr. Schwartz is a writer based in Boston. He is the author of Webonomics. He can be reached at www.webonomics.com.



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